Kevin Haggerty, Connors Research

The SPX finished last week +2.0% to 1666.12 and has advanced 17 of the last 21 trading days [80.9%] from the 1556.03 low at the 50DEMA on 4/18/13. The “Fed Rules’ as it has been able to continue inflating the “bubble” despite the negative economic and fundamental misses/below expectations. There is an incredible “herd mentality” [...]

The SPX was +2.0% last week closing at a new cycle high of 1614.12 on Friday. This was accelerated by the NFP “fantasy report” from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which you can never distinguish whether it is reality or fiction. Regardless of the report’s credibility the market reaction was +1.0% for the SPX. [...]

The SPX declined -3.8% in 5 days from the 4/11 1597.35 high to the 1536.03 low last Thursday. There was Fib Time Ratio symmetry on 4/12/13 measured from the 4/2/12 and 9/14/12 highs [1422.38-1474.51], and the market was extremely O/B on a momentum and sentiment base in all-time periods. The SPX had also taken out [...]

The SPX advanced +17.2% to the 4/2/13 1574 high from the 11/16/13 1343 low, having taken out the 1365.15 previous bull cycle high close, but not the 1576.09 10/11/07 bull cycle high. The monthly SPX 5 RSI of 87.40 on 4/2/11 was and is extremely extended,  and the risk reward in that zone is obviously [...]